Hottest real estate markets: Interview on Guelph with Ryan by the Financial Post in the following article.
The following is a modified repost with permission from the Financial Post and the original can be found here.
August sales statistics released by the Canadian Real Estate Association show the national average sale price for a house in Canada has gone up by 18.5 per cent. This is in the past year alone (including Guelph at +14.3%). Update for 2021: it’s still going.
The national average home price set a new record in August at about $586,000.
While the Greater Toronto Area market has been on fire in recent years — and posted a sizable year-over-year gain of 11.1 per cent in August — it wasn’t the only region driving the price increase.
According to CREA’s figures, here are the five hottest real estate markets in Canada.
Ottawa — plus 19.9 per cent
Ottawa recorded the largest year-over-year gain out of all of the housing markets in Canada.
“There’s been a steady migration of people coming to our city for work, quality of life, and the low interest rates are out of this world,” said Burgoyne.
Burgoyne said some of the people moving to Ottawa are from the GTA. But there are those relocating for work from other parts of Canada. These people work in military, high tech, and government. They are relocating to Ottawa because there is better pricing on homes.
“We’ve been very insulated for a number of years, so we’ve had steady increases,” she said. “We look attractive to a lot of people.”
Montreal — plus 16.4 per cent
Montreal’s Census Metropolitan Area saw the second-largest year-over-year price gain. This ranks Moncton as #2 for the hottest real estate markets in Canada.
Charles Brant is director of market analysis at the Quebec Professional Association of Real Estate Brokers. He said Montreal’s housing market has experienced higher prices because of low inventory.
“Our inventory was decreasing rapidly, so the market conditions were in favour of the sellers,” said Brant. “With the COVID craziness, things haven’t changed a lot, because the market was frozen in April and May.”
Brant said before COVID-19, people from the GTA were moving to Montreal to work. Especially in the high tech sector. He said there has been more demand for homes outside of downtown Montreal
“People are moving out of the city to have access to single-family homes,” he said. “It’s easier for them to organize themselves for teleworking.”
Niagara Region — plus 15.3 per cent
Niagara Region home prices registered a year-over-year gain of 15.3 per cent in August. This rounds out the top 5 hottest real estate markets.
Terri McCallum, a sales representative/broker at Royal LePage NRC Realty, said Niagara Region, too, benefitted from the Toronto exodus.
“We have a lot of people exiting the GTA and moving this way,” said McCallum. “If you can buy a property and get twice the house for the same money or less than what you’re leaving now, why wouldn’t you?’
McCallum said people moving from the GTA to Niagara Region love the low prices. She said low interest rates have contributed to more demand, because people see it as a great time to have a mortgage.
“The pace of life down here is different,” she said. “It’s slower, and we have so much to offer.”
Guelph real estate market — plus 14.3 percent
The Guelph real estate market recorded a year-over-year gain of 14.3 per cent in August. It’s also the 3rd Ontario City to be identified as one of the hottest real estate markets.
“With COVID, the growth has intensified and accelerated a trend that maybe would have happened over a 10-year period,” said Ryan Waller. Ryan is a real estate sales representative at Home Group Realty Brokerage. “The Guelph real estate market has a lot going for it from a low unemployment rate, a number of large employers, University of Guelph, and Conestoga College.” Not to mention, a baby boomer generation that just isn’t moving.
Waller said this price increase has been fuelled by a “GTA invasion.” He estimates about 50 per cent of buyers are coming from the GTA.
“Housing is cheaper relative to the GTA, but still commutable,” he said. “We’ve long said that we’re witnessing a mass migration where Ontarians are down-pricing from larger, more expensive cities. They’re moving to smaller, less expensive cities and towns and pocketing money along the way.”
Greater Moncton — plus 12.5 per cent
Greater Moncton prices were up 12.5 per cent on a year-over-year basis in August.
George Murray, the executive officer at Greater Moncton Realtors, said prices have gone up in Greater Moncton because of high demand.
“The combination of quality of life in the region and housing affordability makes Greater Moncton attractive for family living,” said Murray. “The Home Price Index tool has a single family 3 bed home in Moncton composite price of about $200,000. Compare this to Oakville would be $1,000,000. That kind of affordability gets people’s attention.”
Murray said while prices are increasing, new housing is starting to be built to meet the demand.
“That said, Greater Moncton still has some of the most affordable residential housing prices in the country,” he said. “We had seen this trending before COVID-19, and the biggest unknown was what impact COVID-19 would have.”